Tag Archives: Nevada Voter Registration

Kids These Days: Focus on Voting

The Reno Gazette Journal ran a piece this morning on the Student Walk Out in remembrance of the Columbine massacre.

“Students from at least eight Washoe County schools are planning to walk out of their classrooms, march through the streets or call their representatives on Friday to demand action over gun violence in schools.

The walkout is expected to start at 10 a.m., the 19th anniversary of the Columbine High School shooting in Colorado, and in conjunction with hundreds of other planned walkouts across the country.” [RGJ]

It seems appropriate to note that while the students are good at keeping their focus on the issues at hand, the media and all too many adults are having some difficulties doing the same.   The Las Vegas Sun ran what read like a canned article, the online edition of the Review Journal didn’t mention the walk out.

What should we, as adults, do to help the kids get their message out — and keep it in the public spotlight?  Get informedThe Trace is a good place to start.  However, I’m probably typing for the choir here.  There are other sites which collect and disseminate statistics such as the Johns Hopkins University Center for Gun Policy and Research; Everytown Research; and the Gun Violence Archive.

Get Registered.  Okay, we’re already registered, but what about friends and neighbors?  The Secretary of State’s Office posts basic information.  Not in Las Vegas or Reno/Sparks areas?  County Clerk information is here DMV.org also provides basic information:

  • Be a:
    • Citizen of the United States.
    • Nevada resident for at least 30 days before the date of an election.
    • Resident of your precinct for at least 10 days before the election.
  • Be at least 18 years old on or before the date of the election.
  • Not have been declared mentally incompetent by a court of law.
  • Not claim any other place as your legal residence.

If you have been convicted of a non-violent felony your voting rights are restored after you are discharged from incarceration and/or parole. If you have been convicted of a violent felony, or a second felony, you will need to apply to have your civil rights restored.

Vote.

Comments Off on Kids These Days: Focus on Voting

Filed under Gun Issues, Nevada, Nevada politics, Politics

Nevada by the Numbers

NV Legislature wide

Congressional District 1:  (Clark County) Democratic 131,817; Republican 58,268; Independent American 9,616; Libertarian 1,074; Nonpartisan 57,611; Other 4,315.*

Congressional District 2: (Multi-county) Democratic 120,414; Republican 163,005; Independent American 18,447; Libertarian 3,830; Nonpartisan 66,829; Other 3,528.

Congressional District 3: (Clark) Democratic 136,761; Republican 130,522; Independent American 15,939; Libertarian 2,881; Nonpartisan 73,531; Other 2,361.

Congressional District 4: (Multi-county) Democratic 142,079; Republican 107,604; Independent American 14,256; Libertarian 2,310; Nonpartisan 63,751; Other 3,166.

*Active Voters as of August 2016.

Of the 1,334,959 active registered voters in Nevada:

• 531,104 (39.78%) are Democrats
• 459,467 (34.42%) are Republicans
• 261,750 (19.61%) are Nonpartisan
• 58,261 (4.36%) are members of the Independent American Party
• 11,004 (0.82%) are members of the Libertarian Party of Nevada; and
• 13,373 (1.00%) are members of other minor political parties.

Total active Republican voter registration decreased by 1.14% (5,299), while total active Democratic voter registration decreased by 1.13% (6,049). [SoSNV]

Comments Off on Nevada by the Numbers

Filed under Nevada politics

A Small But Significant Win? NV Voting Rights Case sent back to Federal District Court

ballot box There was a small but perhaps significant win yesterday for those who believe that ALL eligible citizens in Nevada should have to opportunity to register to vote.

“A federal appeals court on Thursday revived a lawsuit alleging that the Nevada Health and Human Services Department has been disenfranchising potential low-income and disabled voters by not providing registration materials to clients at its offices as required by federal law.

The civil rights lawsuit, filed in 2012 by the National Council of Las Raza and two branches of the NAACP, had been dismissed by U.S. District Court Judge Robert Clive Jones after he determined the groups had no standing to bring the claims.

A panel of the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals reversed that decision, reviving the complaint that Nevada state officials are violating Section 7 of the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 by failing to make voter registration materials available to people who visit their offices.” [LVRJ]

Note, the Appeals Court isn’t saying that the NV HHS was, in fact, in violation of federal statutes, but that the District Court erred in declaring that the original plaintiffs didn’t have standing to file their suit.  Voting rights groups were pleased with the decision:

Voting rights groups Demos, Project Vote, and the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, which represented the plaintiffs along with the law firms Dechert LLP and Woodburn and Wedge, applauded the decision.

“Today’s decision is a victory for low-income voters in Nevada and the community groups that serve them,” said Brenda Wright, Vice President for Legal Strategies at Demos. “The Ninth Circuit’s decision recognizes the fundamental importance of access to the courts in protecting the right to vote. We are pleased that the Ninth Circuit has rectified a miscarriage of justice by reinstating our clients’ voting rights claims.”

In its opinion, the Court rejected Nevada’s argument that the plaintiffs—organizations that conduct voter registration drives in low-income communities throughout the State—were not harmed by the state’s violations of the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA) and therefore lacked “standing” to challenge them. 

“The Court recognized that Nevada is answerable to community groups that have been forced to pick up the slack for the State’s failure to fulfill its legal obligations,” said Sarah Brannon, Director of Project Vote’s Government Agency Voter Registration Program.”  [more at Demos]

This, of course, will not please the “election integrity” crowd who will assert that voting is a sort of privilege, a reward for being a “taxpayer” – as if members of minority groups, and those who need social services aren’t “real” taxpayers.  They will, no doubt, continue to whine that their lack of success in some elections can’t possibly be because they lack candidates who appeal to a majority, ergo it must be because the “other side” cheated in some conspiratorial way.  In short, any election they don’t win must necessarily be fraudulent.

No, a “fraudulent” election is one in which there is ample evidence of voter suppression, indications that minority community members were sent misleading and downright inaccurate information, activities such as those of the infamous Nathan Sproul, sweeping voter roll purges, and such suppressive legislation as photo IDs which are difficult for rural, elderly, and non-white voters to access.

Here’s hoping the Federal District Court will take a more constructive view of the issues raised in this case, and will direct that more eligible individuals will be encouraged to participate in Nevada elections.

Comments Off on A Small But Significant Win? NV Voting Rights Case sent back to Federal District Court

Filed under elections, Nevada news, Nevada politics, Vote Suppression, Voting

Playing with the Numbers: Party Affiliation Trends and Nevada Numbers

There may be much made of polling numbers coming from the mid-July efforts of Gallup concerning Americans’ party affiliations.  There probably ought to be a warning label attached suggesting not to consume these numbers without giving some thought to the context, and to the trends.

Party AffiliationIf we take the mid July polling from the past ten years and plot it out the numbers shape up on the graph above.  Before analysts turn the simple chart into spaghetti, here’s the obvious:

(1) There are now more people who declare themselves to be Independent voters than at any point in the past ten years.  The percentage has increased from 27% in mid July 2004 to 45% in mid July 2014, for an overall increase of 18%.

(2) The percentage of individuals who self identify as Republicans has declined from a high of 35% in mid July 2004 to 23% in mid July 2014, or an overall decline of 12%. However, before assuming this to be a continuous and uninterrupted downward trend, note that GOP affiliation percentages stood at 29% in July 2011, and 31% in July 2006.

(3) The percentage of individuals identifying as Democrats was 36% in July 2004, and now stands at 29%, for a 7% overall decline.  Again, take some caution, because the percentage of those who called themselves Democrats was 37% in 2009.

(4) The mean of Republican affiliation over the ten year period  is approximately 28.18%, that of Independents at 36.9%, Democrats at 32. 81%. Those “leaning Republican” averages out to 41.36%, and those “leaning Democratic” averages out to about 47.35%.

Warnings:

It’s entirely too easy to say the decline in Party affiliation is a direct function of the increase in Independent identification. For one thing, the polling doesn’t take into account new voters.  We don’t know from the basic numbers whether the person answering the pollster is a “new” voter or a person who has been voting since 1960.  We can get a general idea of the political landscape from the charts and figures, but some care should be applied before jumping to definitive conclusions.

Another caveat that bears repeating is that Party affiliation doesn’t guarantee turnout.  There’s an entire cottage industry devoted to implementing turnout strategies to attest to that truism.

What shouldn’t come as any surprise is that local voting registrations tend to mirror national trends, and Nevada is no exception:

“Nearly 15,000 Nevadans registered to vote in July 2014, with more than half choosing to identify as nonpartisan, as shown by numbers released today by Secretary of State Ross Miller’s Elections Division.  Of the 1,184,251 active registrants statewide, 40.41% (478,598) are Democrats, 34.93% (413,615) are Republicans, 18.43% (218,267) are nonpartisan, 4.73% (56,062) are members of the Independent American Party, and the remaining 1.49% (17,709) are members of the Libertarian or other minor parties.” [NVSoS]

The next question to ask is who are these voters?  One category currently popular with the punditry is age, and Nevada’s age and Party affiliation (pdf) looks like this:

Nevada voters by ageAs the graphic indicates, Party affiliation tends to increase with age, which should come as no great surprise to anyone.  However, the Democratic Party in Nevada has a lead of 22,646 over its Republican counterpart in registered voters in the 18 to 24 year old bracket.  There are 39,118 more registered Democrats in Nevada than Republicans in the 25 to 34 year old column.

If the old saw (people get more conservative as they get older) were completely true for Nevada voting registration values then we’d expect the blue column to decline as the brackets increase, but since they don’t we might conclude in this instance that non-partisan voters may tend to move into the GOP column, but in insufficient numbers to make up the gap until the 65 and over column is added.  The over 65 voters are almost evenly split with 136,983 registered active Democrats and 135,315 registered active Republicans.

Whether those of us in the outback like it or not, Nevada IS an urban state, and the registration numbers in Washoe (Reno) and Clark (Las Vegas) counties matter.

There are 355,030 registered Democrats in Clark County as of the July reports, down from 370,641 listed in the January report of active voters.  There were 253,153 registered Republicans in Clark County as of January 2014, and  248,288 listed in the July report.*

Republicans had 83,535 registered voters as of January 2014 in Washoe County, and 85,144 as of July 2014.  Democrats had 79,557 registered voters in January 2014, and 80,325 as of the July report.*

Statewide, there were 493,929 registered Democrats as of the January 2014 report, which declined to 478,598 as of the July figures.* There were 416,015 registered Republicans in the January report, and 413,615 as of July 2014.*  (*The reports are in PDF format and are available from the Nevada Secretary of State’s office here.)

And now that we’ve played with the numbers and charts — none of this makes a nickel’s worth of difference without Voter Turnout in the mid term elections.

 

Comments Off on Playing with the Numbers: Party Affiliation Trends and Nevada Numbers

Filed under Nevada politics, Politics

Clips and Quotes: Tuesday Morning News

** Governor Romney is back on the hustings with his Coupon Conservatism in full sail — this time on education.  This topic has been covered before, Federal funding for K-12 education isn’t a single large pot portioned out on a per child basis. The Governor would like to have Nevada schools enmeshed in a highly, and unnecessarily, complicated system in which funding follows the individual child — want a bureaucratic nightmare of Brobdingnagian proportions? This would do it.  Explanation here.

** Good news, the NV Progressive reports Democrats have a 65,000 person lead in Nevada voter registration.   The Gleaner takes on the Nevada senate race here and here. Ralston’s Reality Check (video) has some interesting points to make about Rep. Shelley Berkley’s ad questioning Sen. Dean Heller’s relationship with felon — it gets an A-.  Sebelius adds some insight and video at Slash/Politics.   Berkley and Heller debate on September 27, and the Washoe County Democrats are hosting a watch party; details here.

** Nevada’s own Sheldon Adelson continues to set records for spreading money in the expressed intent to promote his personal interests:

“Adelson has made history: He is the first person to spend $70 million to sway a presidential election, and he plans to spend more — perhaps as much as $100 million — by Election Day. An estimated $20 million to $30 million of the giving went to groups that do not disclose their donors and had not been reported before.”  [LVSun]

Mr. Adelson would, no doubt, like to make those pesky investigations into his operations in Macau go very very far away.   Ed Kilgore has more about “Adelson’s Ideological Dollars.”  Highly recommended reading.

** Since we qualify as a battleground state for some reason defying our actual number of electoral college votes, The Examiner reports President Obama leads on the Medicare issue.   Here’s a picture:

** Suppression Congestion:  The Pennsylvania lower court, instructed to re-hear arguments in the vote suppression scheme in that state, will take the case today. More at Crooks and Liars.   The Atlantic has an excellent piece describing the impact the Pennsylvania law has on elderly voters.    As former President Clinton put it back on September 4th — vote suppression is an act of desperation.

** Arithmetic:  The conservative economist whose work Governor Romney is fond of citing to support his tax shaft shift to middle income Americans — not…so…much:

“Conservative economists have tried make the numbers work. Martin Feldstein — a Harvard professor and president emeritus of the National Bureau of Economic Research — released a paper arguing that the targets could be met if “middle class” is defined downward — specifically if Romney increases the tax burden on incomes between $100,000 and $250,000 to pay for tax rate cuts for everyone else. Feldstein’s report ratified the Tax Policy Center’s broad thesis that Romney’s 20 percent tax rate cuts could not be offset merely by unwinding deductions and credits for the wealthy — families typically defined by both parties as middle class would also have to take a hit.”  [TPM]

Arithmetic.

Comments Off on Clips and Quotes: Tuesday Morning News

Filed under 2012 election, Adelson, Berkley, education, Heller, Medicare, Romney, tax revenue, Taxation, Vote Suppression, Voting